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| Will the UK drop in base rate make any difference to the crisis? |
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| Written by Chris Clare |
| Monday, 24 November 2008 17:41 |
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On the 6th of November, an unprecedented meeting took place involving the Bank of England's monetary policy committee. At that meeting the bank decided to drop their interest rates by a huge 1.5%, bringing interest the interest rate to the lowest level seen since 1954. The rate currently sits at 3%. The question is, will this help both ourselves and the economy, both in the short and long term. I am afraid that my answer to this would have to be no, I can't see it happening. The reason behind this is that the lenders will be unwilling to pass on the 1.5% to the public because they were unable to pass on the previous rate cut either. To put it into perspective, their standard variable rate is still at the level that it was more than 6 months ago, go figure. The problem that most lending institutions have both here in the UK and around the globe is even though bank base rates have reduced the cost of funds from bank to bank has not fallen at the same rate. The rate at which financial institutions in the UK lend to each other is called the LIBOR rate which stands for the London inter-bank offered rate. Whilst LIBOR has come down very slightly over the last few months it is quite considerably out of sync with bank base rates. So even though money appears to be cheaper it is not. The LIBOR rate is dictated by the willingness of the institutions to loan money to each other. Due to the onset of the credit crunch and the fact that the poor lending policies of the institutions have come to light, there has been an unwillingness to lend between the institutions and this has a knock on effect on the LIBOR. They all know about each other's shoddy lending policies of the past and, due to the down turn in the economy, they do not want to expose themselves any further. You would be forgiven for thinking that the cash inputs of various governments over the world may have gone some way to easing the crisis, but you would be sorely mistaken. For some reason there are rumours circulating that a condition of the cash injection is that lenders must lend a set percentage more next year than the previous one, and so they are preparing themselves for that eventuality, but this may only be rumour. What is for sure is that there is very little money about, and as such the rates are very poor. In my opinion, what the decision of 6th November will do is up the confidence levels of the public. People will come to the natural conclusion that the lowering of base rates means there is light at the end of the tunnel. They will soon realise this isn't so when they see that their mortgage rates have not changed in line with the bank's new rate. The difference may be seen in commercial finance though. Most commercial rates are set at a level above the bank's base rate, so it may reach here. Irrespective of that, a lot of commercial lenders have bumped up their over base rate level to preempt any new customers looking to borrow. Equally, some lenders have already withdrawn their base rate tracker level or increased it so as to eliminate any possible risk of losing more money. After such a huge single cut in rates, and looking at the action being taken, it makes you wonder if these lenders actually saw it coming! So what effect will the drop actually have? In the short term, probably very little effect at all. Nevertheless, I would like to think that over the coming months we will see the positive effect trickle down bit by bit into the markets. If it doesn't reach Joe Public, and doesn't reach sooner rather than later, we may have to face the possibility of being in some very, very serious financial trouble indeed. Fingers crossed then! About the Author: Mortgage Route gives information help and mortgage advice from fully trained mortgage brokers along with no obligation mortgage calculators and sourcing tools. You are welcome to reprint this article - but get your own unique content version here. Kindly provided by LJ-Marketing.dk You are welcome to use this article on your own website, if you include the link just before this text. |
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